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AHT: 00

02 Mar 2025 · 18:00

AVS

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.9%
Farense
30.1%
Draw
16.0%
AVS

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Farense

vs
0.62

AVS

Markets

BTTS35.0%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.0%
0-0
14.9%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).