Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Chievo
29.7%
Draw
24.0%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Chievo
vs
0.94
Spal
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).