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15 Aug 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.1%
Wrexham
20.9%
Draw
17.0%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Wrexham

vs
0.86

Walsall

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).