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17 Jan 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.1%
Buyuksehyr
20.0%
Draw
9.9%
Karagumruk

Expected Goals (xG)

2.53

Buyuksehyr

vs
0.93

Karagumruk

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
4-0
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).