Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.7%
Brann
8.8%
Draw
4.5%
Lillestrøm
Expected Goals (xG)
3.40
Brann
vs
0.73
Lillestrøm
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.578.0%
Over 3.559.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
4-0
9.0%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-0
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).