Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Nottingham Forest
28.8%
Draw
50.0%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.56
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
9.9%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).