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05 Oct 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.1%
Stuttgart
13.2%
Draw
6.7%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

2.92

Stuttgart

vs
0.78

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-0
4.3%
5-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).