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AHT: 01CSV

14 Mar 2020 · 17:20

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.3%
Halifax
21.2%
Draw
12.5%
Ebbsfleet

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Halifax

vs
0.80

Ebbsfleet

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).