Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Reading
22.6%
Draw
42.7%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Reading
vs
1.56
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).