Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Wolfsburg
26.5%
Draw
41.1%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Wolfsburg
vs
1.54
Mainz
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).