Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Pau FC
23.1%
Draw
46.9%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Pau FC
vs
1.56
Troyes
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).