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25 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.9%
Reading
28.7%
Draw
32.4%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Reading

vs
1.21

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).