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29 Oct 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.0%
Juve Stabia
26.8%
Draw
51.2%
Sassuolo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Juve Stabia

vs
1.65

Sassuolo

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).