Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Sp Gijon
25.0%
Draw
26.4%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Sp Gijon
vs
1.08
Numancia
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).