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16 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Plymouth
27.3%
Draw
39.7%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Plymouth

vs
1.44

Preston

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).