Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Morton
34.4%
Draw
30.9%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Morton
vs
1.00
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.6%
0-0
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).