Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Peterboro
21.9%
Draw
58.1%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Peterboro
vs
1.71
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).