Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.9%
Hearts
16.3%
Draw
7.8%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Hearts
vs
0.68
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
3-0
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).