Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.2%
Salernitana
15.8%
Draw
74.0%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Salernitana
vs
2.45
Napoli
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.8%
0-1
9.7%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-4
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).