Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Cambridge
21.9%
Draw
60.5%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Cambridge
vs
1.70
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).