Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Salford
19.3%
Draw
26.9%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Salford
vs
1.62
Swindon
Markets
BTTS72.2%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).