Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Tottenham
21.1%
Draw
67.2%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Tottenham
vs
2.20
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.6%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).