Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
19.0%
Draw
70.9%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
2.23
Southampton
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.9%
0-1
10.9%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).