Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Newcastle
29.2%
Draw
25.2%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Newcastle
vs
1.07
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).