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AHT: 01

31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Thame
17.7%
Draw
22.3%
Wingate & Finchley

Expected Goals (xG)

2.61

Thame

vs
1.58

Wingate & Finchley

Markets

BTTS73.3%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.578.7%
Over 3.560.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
1-1
6.1%
3-2
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
4-2
3.6%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).