Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
Augsburg
26.2%
Draw
17.7%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Augsburg
vs
0.82
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).