Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Padova
31.9%
Draw
31.9%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Padova
vs
1.05
Livorno
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).