Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Leverkusen
25.5%
Draw
16.3%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Leverkusen
vs
0.77
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).