Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Augsburg
23.5%
Draw
59.7%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Augsburg
vs
1.88
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.9%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).