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AHT: 10CSV

02 Feb 2019

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.2%
Waasland-Beveren
19.8%
Draw
63.0%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Waasland-Beveren

vs
2.33

Genk

Markets

BTTS62.5%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
0-1
6.6%
0-3
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
0-4
3.8%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).