Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Estrela
25.6%
Draw
42.4%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Estrela
vs
1.37
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
7.5%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).