Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Swansea
27.8%
Draw
30.0%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Swansea
vs
1.20
Hull
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).