Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Chateauroux
22.0%
Draw
60.6%
Dunkerque
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Chateauroux
vs
1.69
Dunkerque
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).