Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Norwich
23.4%
Draw
15.9%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Norwich
vs
0.89
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).