Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.3%
Salford
21.7%
Draw
56.0%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Salford
vs
1.86
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).