Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.4%
St Pauli
26.5%
Draw
58.1%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
St Pauli
vs
1.59
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).