Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.0%
Montpellier
11.5%
Draw
83.5%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Montpellier
vs
2.63
Lens
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.5%
0-3
13.6%
0-1
12.1%
0-4
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
1-3
6.5%
1-1
5.3%
0-5
4.7%
1-4
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
1-0
2.5%
1-5
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).