Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.3%
Venezia
17.5%
Draw
8.2%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Venezia
vs
0.69
Spezia
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
3-0
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.2%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
5-0
3.0%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).