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21 Apr 2026 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.9%
Ried
29.3%
Draw
25.8%
Grazer AK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Ried

vs
0.98

Grazer AK

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).