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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.4%
Man United
10.5%
Draw
10.1%
Biggleswade

Expected Goals (xG)

3.95

Man United

vs
1.55

Biggleswade

Markets

BTTS77.1%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.3%
Over 2.591.1%
Over 3.579.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
6.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-1
5.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-2
5.0%
2-1
5.0%
3-0
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
5-0
3.3%
2-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).