Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Oldham
13.3%
Draw
10.4%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
Oldham
vs
1.03
Northampton
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.575.8%
Over 3.556.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-0
8.0%
4-1
6.1%
4-0
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
4.3%
5-1
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).