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DHT: 01CSV

27 Feb 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Virtus Entella
32.8%
Draw
32.3%
Brescia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Virtus Entella

vs
1.01

Brescia

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.9%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).