Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Darmstadt
29.2%
Draw
38.8%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Darmstadt
vs
1.30
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.6%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).