Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Grimsby
22.6%
Draw
20.9%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Grimsby
vs
0.95
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).