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AHT: 01CSV

03 May 2025 · 20:05

Monaco

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
St Etienne
16.7%
Draw
65.0%
Monaco

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

St Etienne

vs
2.60

Monaco

Markets

BTTS67.7%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.8%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
6.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
2-3
5.1%
1-4
5.0%
2-1
4.5%
0-4
3.7%
2-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).