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AHT: 01CSV

16 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.6%
Bromley
26.9%
Draw
22.4%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Bromley

vs
0.99

Torquay

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).