Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Burton
25.8%
Draw
36.8%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Burton
vs
1.17
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
0-1
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).