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07 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.3%
Ipswich
19.3%
Draw
12.4%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Ipswich

vs
0.63

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS38.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.0%
2-0
14.4%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).