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19 Oct 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.3%
Castellon
23.8%
Draw
34.8%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Castellon

vs
1.44

Levante

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
5.0%
0-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).