Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Las Palmas
25.0%
Draw
19.0%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Las Palmas
vs
0.80
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).